Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Carlos Lopez Montagud Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Montagud has been more effective, winning 47.34% of points on his second serve against Aguilar's 41.23%. Could this serve edge influence the outcome?
• Return Game Proficiency: Aguilar edges out Montagud in returning opponents' second serves, winning 52.61% of points compared to Montagud's 44.27%. On first serve returns, Aguilar slightly leads with 32.83% over Montagud's 31.23%.
• Pressure Handling: Both players are nearly equal under pressure, with Montagud saving 49.48% of breakpoints, slightly better than Aguilar's 48.91%.
• Recent Performance: Aguilar boasts a superior winning percentage over the last year at 65.79% compared to Montagud's 53.97%.
• Preferred Surface: Aguilar and Montagud both excel on clay, with Aguilar holding a slight edge of 60% over Montagud's 59% career win rate on this surface.
• Player Level and Experience: Aguilar has been competing mostly at Challenger/ITF tournaments, winning about 51.16%, while Montagud has appeared primarily in Futures/Satellites events, winning 57.14%.
• Head-to-Head Record: Aguilar has dominated, winning 4 out of their 5 head-to-head matchups. Aguilar has also won 9 out of 12 sets played between them.
• Extreme Pressure Situations: The pair is evenly matched in tiebreaks, each claiming one victory.
• Opponent Quality: Aguilar faces slightly tougher opponents, with an average rank of 395.28 versus Montagud's 429.35.
• Deciding Set Performance: Montagud boasts a better performance in deciding sets overall, winning 76% compared to Aguilar's 57% in the past year.
• Break Point Conversion: Aguilar has been slightly more efficient at converting break points, at 33.83% compared to Montagud's 31.2%.

Editorial Prediction (June 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Aguilar and Montagud presents a compelling matchup of styles and strengths. Aguilar's superior return game and experience at higher-level tournaments provide him with a noticeable edge, particularly given his excellent performance on clay where he faces Montagud.

Conversely, Montagud's more consistent second serve and impressive ability to close deciding sets position him as a formidable opponent. Yet, Aguilar's strong head-to-head record, including his dominance in past encounters, indicates a psychological advantage.

In this face-off, Aguilar's ability to capitalize on break opportunities and his recent winning momentum could be decisive. Considering all the factors, Aguilar appears more likely to secure the victory in this matchup.